Herndon Airbnb Market Analysis 2025: Short Term Rental Data & Vacation Rental Statistics in Virginia, United States

Source: AirROI
Last updated: 2025-03-31

Is Airbnb profitable in Herndon in 2025? Explore comprehensive Airbnb analytics for Herndon, Virginia, United States to uncover income potential. This 2025 STR market report for Herndon, based on AirROI data from April 2024 to March 2025, reveals key trends in the niche market of 48 active listings.

Whether you're considering an Airbnb investment in Herndon, optimizing your existing vacation rental, or exploring rental arbitrage opportunities, understanding the Herndon Airbnb data is crucial. Leveraging the low regulation environment is key to maximizing your short term rental income potential. Let's dive into the specifics.

Key Herndon Airbnb Performance Metrics Overview

Avg. Daily Rate (ADR)(?)
$110
The average rental revenue earned for an occupied room per day in Herndon.
Occupancy Rate(?)
56.4%
High demand. Good booking frequency.
Median Annual Revenue(?)
$15,070
Typical annual income for an Airbnb listing in Herndon. Factors like property type, size, and location influence actual earnings.
Revenue Growth YoY(?)
-11.8%
Significant decrease (-11.8%) vs. last year.
Peak Revenue Month(?)
December
The month with the highest average earnings, indicating peak season in Herndon.
Lowest Revenue Month(?)
September
The month with the lowest average earnings, indicating the low season in Herndon.
STR Regulation Level(?)
Low
Fewer regulations, offering more operational flexibility.
Active Airbnb Listings(?)
48
Total number of active short-term rentals listed.

Monthly Airbnb Revenue Variations & Income Potential in Herndon (2025)

Understanding the monthly revenue variations for Airbnb listings in Herndon is key to maximizing your short term rental income potential. Seasonality significantly impacts earnings. Our analysis, based on data from the past 12 months, shows that the peak revenue month for STRs in Herndon is typically December, while September often presents the lowest earnings, highlighting opportunities for strategic pricing adjustments during shoulder and low seasons. Explore the typical Airbnb income in Herndon across different performance tiers:

  • Best-in-class properties (Top 10%) achieve $4,773+ monthly, often utilizing dynamic pricing and superior guest experiences.
  • Strong performing properties (Top 25%) earn $3,208 or more, indicating effective management and desirable locations/amenities.
  • Typical properties (Median) generate around $1,515 per month, representing the average market performance.
  • Entry-level properties (Bottom 25%) see earnings around $872, often with potential for optimization.

Average Monthly Airbnb Earnings Trend in Herndon

Herndon Airbnb Occupancy Rate Trends (2025)

Maximize your bookings by understanding the Herndon STR occupancy trends. Seasonal demand shifts significantly influence how often properties are booked. Typically, Augustsees the highest demand (peak season occupancy), while June experiences the lowest (low season). Effective strategies, like adjusting minimum stays or offering promotions, can boost occupancy during slower periods. Here's how different property tiers perform in Herndon:

  • Best-in-class properties (Top 10%) achieve 90%+ occupancy, indicating high desirability and potentially optimized availability.
  • Strong performing properties (Top 25%) maintain 82% or higher occupancy, suggesting good market fit and guest satisfaction.
  • Typical properties (Median) have an occupancy rate around 63%.
  • Entry-level properties (Bottom 25%) average 37% occupancy, potentially facing higher vacancy.

Average Monthly Occupancy Rate Trend in Herndon

Average Daily Rate (ADR) Airbnb Trends in Herndon (2025)

Effective short term rental pricing strategy in Herndon involves understanding monthly ADR fluctuations. The Average Daily Rate (ADR) for Airbnb in Herndon typically peaks in July and dips lowest during November. Leveraging Airbnb dynamic pricing tools or strategies based on this seasonality can significantly boost revenue. Here's a look at the typical nightly rates achieved:

  • Best-in-class properties (Top 10%) command rates of $226+ per night, often due to premium features or locations.
  • Strong performing properties (Top 25%) achieve nightly rates of $154 or more.
  • Typical properties (Median) charge around $72 per night.
  • Entry-level properties (Bottom 25%) earn around $47 per night.

Average Daily Rate (ADR) Trend by Month in Herndon

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Airbnb Seasonality Analysis & Trends in Herndon (2025)

Peak Season (December, June, November)
  • Revenue averages $2,716 per month
  • Occupancy rates average 54.6%
  • Daily rates average $113
Shoulder Season
  • Revenue averages $2,161 per month
  • Occupancy maintains around 60.5%
  • Daily rates hold near $116
Low Season (March, September, October)
  • Revenue drops to average $1,786 per month
  • Occupancy decreases to average 60.0%
  • Daily rates adjust to average $116

Seasonality Insights for Herndon

  • The Airbnb seasonality in Herndon shows moderate seasonality with distinct peak and low periods. While the sections above show seasonal averages, it's also insightful to look at the extremes:
  • During the high season, the absolute peak month showcases Herndon's highest earning potential, with monthly revenues capable of climbing to $2,982, occupancy reaching a high of 67.1%, and ADRs peaking at $120.
  • Conversely, the slowest single month of the year, typically falling within the low season, marks the market's lowest point. In this month, revenue might dip to $1,652, occupancy could drop to 44.7%, and ADRs may adjust down to $107.
  • Understanding both the seasonal averages and these monthly peaks and troughs in revenue, occupancy, and ADR is crucial for maximizing your Airbnb profit potential in Herndon.

Seasonal Strategies for Maximizing Profit

  • Peak Season: Maximize revenue through premium pricing and potentially longer minimum stays. Ensure high availability.
  • Low Season: Offer competitive pricing, special promotions (e.g., extended stay discounts), and flexible cancellation policies. Target off-season travelers like remote workers or budget-conscious guests.
  • Shoulder Seasons: Implement dynamic pricing that balances peak and low rates. Target weekend travelers or specific events. Offer slightly more flexible terms than peak season.
  • Regularly analyze your own performance against these Herndon seasonality benchmarks and adjust your pricing and availability strategy accordingly.

Best Areas for Airbnb Investment in Herndon (2025)

Exploring the top neighborhoods for short-term rentals in Herndon? This section highlights key areas, outlining why they are attractive for hosts and guests, along with notable local attractions. Consider these locations based on your target guest profile and investment strategy.

Neighborhood / AreaWhy Host Here? (Target Guests & Appeal)Key Attractions & Landmarks
Historic Downtown Herndon
Charming area with preserved historical buildings and a vibrant local community. It attracts visitors looking for a quaint experience with local shops, cafes, and events.
Herndon Depot Museum, Arts Herndon, Herndon Festival, Old Town Herndon shopping, Bready Park
Dulles Town Center
A major shopping destination with a wide range of retail options, dining, and entertainment. Great for attracting guests looking for convenience and shopping nearby.
Dulles Town Center Mall, Cinemark Movie Theatre, Restaurants and cafes, Outdoor events and concerts
Lake Anne
Picturesque waterfront area with a beautiful lake and a community vibe. Attracts families and those seeking outdoor activities and scenic views.
Lake Anne Plaza, Waterside activities, Farmers Market, Lake Anne Church, Cafes and art galleries
Herndon Centennial Golf Course
Ideal for guests looking for recreational activities. This area attracts golf enthusiasts and those interested in outdoor leisure.
Golfing, Community events, Close proximity to parks, Natural trails nearby
Reston Town Center
Though technically in Reston, it's close to Herndon and offers a vibrant urban experience with shops, restaurants, and cultural activities. Popular with both tourists and business travelers.
Shopping and dining, Reston Farmers Market, Events at Reston Town Center, National Mall nearby
The Worldgate Centre
A mixed-use development offering shopping, dining, and entertainment. It's a hub of activity ideal for attracting tourists and local visitors.
Dining options, Shopping, Health clubs and wellness centers, Entertainment venues
Dulles Airport Area
Proximity to Washington Dulles International Airport makes this area ideal for business travelers and tourists. Great access to transportation and local amenities.
Dulles International Airport, Nearby hotels and amenities, Transportation hubs
The W&OD Trail
Attracts outdoor enthusiasts with its scenic walking and biking trails. Ideal for travelers looking for nature activities.
W&OD Trail for biking and walking, Parks along the route, Access to nature

Understanding Airbnb License Requirements & STR Laws in Herndon (2025)

While Herndon, Virginia, United States currently shows low STR regulations, specific Airbnb license requirements might still exist or change. Always verify the latest short term rental regulations and Airbnb license requirements directly with local government authorities for Herndon to ensure full compliance before hosting.

(Source: AirROI data, 2025, finding no licensed listings among those analyzed)

Top Performing Airbnb Properties in Herndon (2025)

Benchmark your potential! Explore examples of top-performing Airbnb properties in Herndonbased on Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) revenue. Analyze their characteristics, revenue, occupancy rate, and ADR to understand what drives success in this market.

3 bedroom Condo near IAD-walk to downtown Herndon!

3 bedroom Condo near IAD-walk to downtown Herndon!

Entire Place • 3 bedrooms

$59,743
Revenue
64.7%
Occupancy
$222.63
Daily Rate
Historic Herndon Farmhouse - IAD - Dulles - Reston

Historic Herndon Farmhouse - IAD - Dulles - Reston

Entire Place • 3 bedrooms

$49,182
Revenue
57.2%
Occupancy
$198.99
Daily Rate
2 Bedroom Plus Bonus Loft Townhouse Near IAD

2 Bedroom Plus Bonus Loft Townhouse Near IAD

Entire Place • 3 bedrooms

$48,144
Revenue
65.5%
Occupancy
$186.87
Daily Rate
Modern Sugarland Apt-Metro/IAD

Modern Sugarland Apt-Metro/IAD

Entire Place • 1 bedroom

$41,047
Revenue
83.2%
Occupancy
$122.72
Daily Rate
Dream Apartment in Downtown, Full Kitchen+Spa Bath

Dream Apartment in Downtown, Full Kitchen+Spa Bath

Entire Place • 1 bedroom

$39,084
Revenue
82.1%
Occupancy
$143.00
Daily Rate
Herndon Townhouse 10-min to Dulles Airport/Metro

Herndon Townhouse 10-min to Dulles Airport/Metro

Entire Place • 2 bedrooms

$38,453
Revenue
79.1%
Occupancy
$125.13
Daily Rate

Note: Performance varies based on location, size, amenities, seasonality, and management quality. Data reflects the past 12 months.

Top Performing Airbnb Hosts in Herndon (2025)

Learn from the best! This table showcases top-performing Airbnb hosts in Herndon based on the number of properties managed and estimated total revenue over the past year. Analyze their scale and performance metrics.

Host NamePropertiesGrossing RevenueStay ReviewsAvg Rating
Michelle2$107,887754.85/5.0
MyTrinh2$86,941352.48/5.0
Wallace2$68,9123274.93/5.0
Anupam6$66,39313934.83/5.0
Chuanhao3$39,981654.99/5.0
Omer1$39,084384.95/5.0
Joy1$38,453304.70/5.0
Rob + Kelly1$33,698844.89/5.0
Shannon1$32,94795.00/5.0
Damien1$27,9972174.76/5.0

Analyzing the strategies of top hosts, such as their property selection, pricing, and guest communication, can offer valuable lessons for optimizing your own Airbnb operations in Herndon.

Dive Deeper: Advanced Herndon STR Market Data (2025)

Ready to unlock more insights? AirROI provides access to advanced metrics and comprehensive Airbnb data for Herndon. Explore detailed analytics beyond this report to refine your investment strategy, optimize pricing, and maximize your vacation rental profits.

Explore Advanced Metrics

Herndon Short-Term Rental Market Composition (2025): Property & Room Types

Room Type Distribution

Property Type Distribution

Market Composition Insights for Herndon

  • The Herndon Airbnb market composition is heavily skewed towards Private Room listings, which make up 54.2% of the 48 active rentals. This indicates strong guest preference for privacy and space.
  • Looking at the property type distribution in Herndon, House properties are the most common (64.6%), reflecting the local real estate landscape.
  • Houses represent a significant 64.6% portion, catering likely to families or larger groups.
  • Smaller segments like hotel/boutique (combined 4.2%) offer potential for unique stay experiences.

Herndon Airbnb Room Capacity Analysis (2025): Bedroom Distribution

Distribution of Listings by Number of Bedrooms

Room Capacity Insights for Herndon

  • The dominant room capacity in Herndon is 1 bedroom listings, making up 33.3% of the market. This suggests a strong demand for properties suitable for couples or solo travelers.
  • Together, 1 bedroom and 3 bedrooms properties represent 43.7% of the active Airbnb listings in Herndon, indicating a high concentration in these sizes.

Herndon Vacation Rental Guest Capacity Trends (2025)

Distribution of Listings by Guest Capacity

Guest Capacity Insights for Herndon

  • The most common guest capacity trend in Herndon vacation rentals is listings accommodating 2 guests (14.6%). This suggests the primary traveler segment is likely couples or solo travelers.
  • Properties designed for 2 guests and 4 guests dominate the Herndon STR market, accounting for 27.1% of listings.
  • 18.8% of properties accommodate 6+ guests, serving the market segment for larger families or group travel in Herndon.
  • On average, properties in Herndon are equipped to host 2.5 guests.

Herndon Airbnb Booking Patterns (2025): Available vs. Booked Days

Available Days Distribution

Booked Days Distribution

Booking Pattern Insights for Herndon

  • The most common availability pattern in Herndon falls within the 271-366 days range, representing 33.3% of listings. This suggests many properties have significant open periods on their calendars.
  • Approximately 64.6% of listings show high availability (181+ days open annually), indicating potential for increased bookings or specific owner usage patterns.
  • For booked days, the 91-180 days range is most frequent in Herndon (33.3%), reflecting common guest stay durations or potential owner blocking patterns.
  • A notable 35.5% of properties secure long booking periods (181+ days booked per year), highlighting successful long-term rental strategies or significant owner usage.

Herndon Airbnb Minimum Stay Requirements Analysis

Distribution of Listings by Minimum Night Requirement

1 Night (30%)

1 Night

12 listings

30% of total

2 Nights (2.5%)

2 Nights

1 listings

2.5% of total

3 Nights (10%)

3 Nights

4 listings

10% of total

4-6 Nights (15%)

4-6 Nights

6 listings

15% of total

7-29 Nights (20%)

7-29 Nights

8 listings

20% of total

30+ Nights (22.5%)

30+ Nights

9 listings

22.5% of total

Key Insights

  • The most prevalent minimum stay requirement in Herndon is 1 Night, adopted by 30% of listings. This highlights the market's preference for shorter, flexible bookings.
  • A significant segment (22.5%) caters to monthly stays (30+ nights) in Herndon, pointing to opportunities in the extended-stay market.

Recommendations

  • Align with the market by considering a 1 Night minimum stay, as 30% of Herndon hosts use this setting.
  • Explore offering discounts for stays of 30+ nights to attract the 22.5% of the market seeking extended stays.
  • Adjust minimum nights based on seasonality – potentially shorter during low season and longer during peak demand periods in Herndon.

Herndon Airbnb Cancellation Policy Trends Analysis (2025)

Flexible (22%)

Flexible

9 listings

22% of total

Moderate (41.5%)

Moderate

17 listings

41.5% of total

Firm (12.2%)

Firm

5 listings

12.2% of total

Strict (24.4%)

Strict

10 listings

24.4% of total

Cancellation Policy Insights for Herndon

  • The prevailing Airbnb cancellation policy trend in Herndon is Moderate, used by 41.5% of listings.
  • There's a relatively balanced mix between guest-friendly (63.5%) and stricter (36.6%) policies, offering choices for different guest needs.

Recommendations for Hosts

  • Consider adopting a Moderate policy to align with the 41.5% market standard in Herndon.
  • Regularly review your cancellation policy against competitors and market demand shifts in Herndon.

Herndon STR Booking Lead Time Analysis (2025)

Average Booking Lead Time by Month

Booking Lead Time Insights for Herndon

  • The overall average booking lead time for vacation rentals in Herndon is 46 days.
  • Guests book furthest in advance for stays during July (average 93 days), likely coinciding with peak travel demand or local events.
  • The shortest booking windows occur for stays in March (average 17 days), indicating more last-minute travel plans during this time.
  • Seasonally, Summer (77 days avg.) sees the longest lead times, while Spring (29 days avg.) has the shortest, reflecting typical travel planning cycles.

Recommendations for Hosts

  • Use the overall average lead time (46 days) as a baseline for your pricing and availability strategy in Herndon.
  • For July stays, consider implementing length-of-stay discounts or slightly higher rates for bookings made less than 93 days out to capitalize on advance planning.
  • Target marketing efforts for the Summer season well in advance (at least 77 days) to capture early planners.
  • Monitor your own booking lead times against these Herndon averages to identify opportunities for dynamic pricing adjustments.

Popular & Essential Airbnb Amenities in Herndon (2025)

Amenity Prevalence

Amenity Insights for Herndon

  • Essential amenities in Herndon that guests expect include: Wifi, Air conditioning, Smoke alarm, Heating, Essentials, Hot water. Lacking these (any) could significantly impact bookings.
  • Popular amenities like Carbon monoxide alarm, TV, Kitchen are common but not universal. Offering these can provide a competitive edge.

Recommendations for Hosts

  • Ensure your listing includes all essential amenities for Herndon: Wifi, Air conditioning, Smoke alarm, Heating, Essentials, Hot water.
  • Prioritize adding missing essentials: Heating, Essentials, Hot water.
  • Consider adding popular differentiators like Carbon monoxide alarm or TV to increase appeal.
  • Highlight unique or less common amenities you offer (e.g., hot tub, dedicated workspace, EV charger) in your listing description and photos.
  • Regularly check competitor amenities in Herndon to stay competitive.

Herndon Airbnb Guest Demographics & Profile Analysis (2025)

Guest Origin: Domestic vs. International
Top 5 Cities of Origin
Top 5 Countries of Origin
Top 5 Languages Spoken
Guest Age Distribution (Birth Decade)

Guest Profile Summary for Herndon

  • The typical guest profile for Airbnb in Herndon consists of primarily domestic travelers (88%), often arriving from nearby New York, typically belonging to the Post-2000s (Gen Z/Alpha) group (50%), primarily speaking English or Spanish.
  • Domestic travelers account for 88.1% of guests.
  • Key international markets include United States (88.1%) and DC (3.1%).
  • Top languages spoken are English (60%) followed by Spanish (9.5%).
  • A significant demographic segment is the Post-2000s (Gen Z/Alpha) group, representing 50% of guests.

Recommendations for Hosts

  • Target domestic marketing efforts towards travelers from New York and Washington.
  • Tailor amenities and listing descriptions to appeal to the dominant Post-2000s (Gen Z/Alpha) demographic (e.g., highlight fast WiFi, smart home features, local guides).
  • Highlight unique local experiences or amenities relevant to the primary guest profile.
  • Consider seasonal promotions aligned with peak travel times for key origin markets.

Nearby Short-Term Rental Market Comparison

How does the Herndon Airbnb market stack up against its neighbors? Compare key performance metrics like average monthly revenue, ADR, and occupancy rates in surrounding areas to understand the broader regional STR landscape.

MarketActive PropertiesMonthly RevenueDaily RateAvg. Occupancy
Castleton10$6,255$523.5539%
Centreville15$6,205$510.7747%
Mayo13$5,786$439.1552%
Stevensville70$5,476$499.4643%
Chester17$5,299$437.7243%
Shannondale47$5,288$292.9456%
Arundel on the Bay25$5,285$509.3739%
Bentonville22$5,235$405.4651%
Lower Windsor Township15$5,190$348.5145%
Skyland Estates13$5,151$253.9963%

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